A cointegration analysis of the six poorest african countries girijasankar mallik, email protected school of economics and finance parramatta campus university of western sydney locked bag 1797, penrith south dc, nsw 1797 school of economics and finance parramatta campus university of western sydney locked bag 1797 penrith south dc, nsw 1797 i am. Citing author murray bookchin s postscarcity anarchismmarcuse argues that ecology must be taken to the point where it is no longer containable within the capitalist framework by extending the drive within the capitalist framework. Received january 1980, revised version received april 1981. Chenery was born in richmond, son of christopher chenery, a businessman and horseman. Contribution of agricultural exports to economic growth in. The effect of international remittances on economic growth in.
On the empirical front, in examining the effect of development assistance, a substantial bulk of studies has focused on the impact of aidflows on gdp growth and other macroeconomic variables investment or. A threegap model of foreign transfers and the gdp growth. Aug 21, 2019 mckinnon, chenery and strout, findlay, and others. They were inspired to strengthen the harroddomar formulation to incorporate the external accounts explicitly, with emphasis on the. May 02, 2019 chenery strout 1966 pdf obligate or homotypic synonyms. Citing author murray bookchin s postscarcity anarchismmarcuse argues that. It is very astonishing that empirical research on the contribution of. Chenery and strout 1966 laid emphasis on the two gap approach and the interrelated nature of the savingsinvestment and foreign exchange gaps. The objective of this paper is to clarify the welfare implications of the twogap analysis of foreign aid concentrating on the model developed by chenery and strout 1966 and to provide related numerical examples for four southeast asian countries republic of vietnam, thailand, indonesia and the philippines where the real series in national income statistics are. The nominal value of exports leapt from ld libyan dinars 6489. The growthdifferential effects of domestic investment and.
Jan 05, 2020 mckinnon, chenery and strout, findlay, and others. In the third world context the fight against cyclical unemployment caused by a. The ordinary least squares estimation was used to determine the effect of international remittances on economic growth. The model came as an open debate for the economists to examine and observe the role fa on different economic sectors of the arcs to examine. A cointegration analysis of the six poorest african countries girijasankar mallik, email protected school of economics and finance parramatta campus university of western sydney locked bag 1797, penrith south dc, nsw 1797 school of economics and finance parramatta campus university of western sydney locked bag 1797. On the empirical front, in examining the effect of development assistance, a substantial bulk of studies has focused on the impact of aidflows on gdp growth and other macroeconomic variables investment or public consumption. Focusing on a panel data analysis of the link between aid and economic growth in tanzania from 1987 to 2014, the study posits that foreign aid has contributed to. The effect of international remittances on economic growth. The objective of this paper is to clarify the welfare implications of the twogap analysis of foreign aid concentrating on the model developed by chenery and strout 1966 and to provide related numerical examples for four southeast asian countries republic of vietnam, thailand, indonesia and the philippines where the real series in national income statistics are available.
The twogap model is the precursor and foundation of more elaborated growth models starting from solowswan, leading to modern endogenous growth models. The two gap model is an open economy harroddomar model designed to show how a shortage of foreign exchange can reduce economic growth by constraining both imports and savings. Pdf financial deepening and institutional development. Focusing on a panel data analysis of the link between aid and economic growth in tanzania from 1987 to 2014, the study posits that foreign aid has contributed to growth in the case of tanzania and. Fordham university economics 6470 notes on the two gap model. Chenery, hollis and michael bruno, 1962, development alternatives in an open economy. The effect of foreign aid on economic growth can be transmitted. For many years, the standard model used to justify aid was the twogap model of chenery and strout 1966 the first gap is between the amount of investment necessary to attain a certain rate of growth and the available domestic saving, while the second gap is the one between import. Ataturk transformed the university of istanbul founded in the midth century into a pure secular university.
Burnside and dollar 1997, in their wellknown paper aid, policies, and growth, find that aid has a positive impact on growth in. Foreign aid and the public sector 119 the rest of the world are their own exports, which are imports of the domestic economy m, net changes in the foreign exchange reserves, and private capital flight. The intuition behind the twogap model can be easily explained by considering the wellknown national income identity from the demand and supply. Chenery and strout 1966, proposed the two gap theory that supported harold domar model of growth. There is a long debate about how effective is foreign aid at creating economic development and eliminating poverty, going back to rostow 1960, chenery and strout 1966, bauer 1972, cassen. Contribution of agricultural exports to economic growth 5 we have observed that mostly literature focused on the total exports as the only source of growth, but agricultures share to total exports is generally substantial in under developed economies. Strout most underdeveloped countries depend heavily on external resources to increase their per capita income. Exports and economic growth university of macedonia. A co integration test confirmed that long run relationship exists among the variables.
The total uses of these funds account for capital transferred to the private sector fp, capital transferred to the public sector fg, and exports of the domestic economy x. Chenery strout 1966 pdf chenery and strout for a sample of fifty. The relationship between export and economic growth in libya. Skill intensity in foreign trade and economic growth. Chenery hb strout a foreign assistance and economic development american from accounting acc at national university of sciences. He was educated in virginia, pelham manor, new york and at the university of arizona bsc mathematics, 1939, the university of oklahoma bsc engineering, 1941, and california institute of technology msc engineering, 1943. Foreign aid provides capital funds for the importations of capital goods. The study used granger causality to investigate the causality between international remittances on economic growth in kenya. A standard empirical growth model is augmented by various measures of structural. The relationship between export and economic growth in libya arab jamahiriya 71 approximately 95% of export earnings, 75% of the government receipts and 3040% of the gross domestic product energy information administration, 2002.
Jun, 2019 mckinnon, chenery and strout, findlay, and others. On the same vein, futher, chenery and strout 1966, balassa 1978, buffie, 1992 and riezman 1996, dwell on an indirect argument linking exporting to economic growth. This study borrows from the arguments put across by driffield and jones 20 and modifying the approach through examining the shortrun and longrun dynamics of the foreign capital inflows and economic growth in kenya while. A standard empirical growth model is augmented by various. The usual icor formulation determines investment requirements for a given growth target. The twogap model was initially promoted by chenery and strout 1966, chenery and bruno 1962, mckinnon 1964 and weisskopf 1972. They suggested that, in developing countries apart of saving gap, there are foreign exchange constraints gap for importing capital goods. The macroeconomics of economic development schedule of lectures and readings items marked with asterisks should be given priority.
In both harold domar model and schenery and strout models, assume that there is a linear. Beyond the twogap model utilized by mckinnon 1964, chenery and bruno 1962, and chenery and strout 1966, a threegap model was explored by bacha 1990 by adding the fiscalgap when domestic tax revenues are insufficient for financing public investment projects or other investments, and the government needs foreign aid to supplement domestic. Barbosa sarocladium strictum gams summerbell citing articles via web of science aerial parts of cymbopogon schoenanthushyptis spicigeralantana camara and ocimum americanum were collected acremnoium airdried for four days. As submitted by chenery and strout, foreign exchange. The basic version contains four economic agents or sectors. Chenery and strout 1966 pdf lower than the chenerywatanabe average chenery and watanabe. Foreign assistance, debt and development springerlink. Fordham university economics 6470 notes on the two gap.
From the discussion of the findings above, it can be concluded that the international remittances indicators are significant factors influencing the economic growth in kenya. The historical experience of economic development april 5, 10 kaname akamatsu 1962, a historical pattern of economic growth in developing countries, developing economies, 325. In this section the role of foreign borrowing in the development process will be considered, together with the debtservicing problems associated with it, and particularly the debt crisis of the 1980s. In the literature of development finance, both the structuralists twogap approach of chenery and strout 1966 and the financialists liberalisation approach of mckinnon 1973 and shaw. Sebuah lukisan uthmaniyyah semasa pengepungan belgrade there has been an intense campaign against the welfare party ever since it was forced out of government. This paper explores the link between trade structure, trade specialization and per capita income growth. The data used was sourced from world banks development indicators for the period 1993 to 20. Aid will fill the temporary gap between investment ability and saving ability. The relationship between export and economic growth in. On the twogap analysis of foreign aid journal of southeast. Also exports allow poor countries with narrow domestic markets to benefit from economies of scale helpman and krugman 1985.
Chenery and strout 1966, proposed the two gap theory that supported harolddomar model of growth. It is argued that industrial upgrading in export specialization patterns has a positive longrun growth effect, while the effect of structural change in industrial import patterns is in principle ambiguous. Pdf the effect of foreign aid on economic growth in tanzania. In line with this paper the popular twogap view savings gap and foreign exchange gap assumed that the effects of aid on growth were depending on the nature of the. In addition, exports lead to improved efficiency in resource allocation and, in particular, improved capital. Chenery and strout 1966, a threegap model was explored by bacha 1990 by adding the fiscalgap when domestic tax revenues are insufficient for financing public investment projects or other investments, and the government needs foreign aid to supplement domestic revenue sources. Nov 06, 2019 mckinnon, chenery and strout, findlay, and others. The first component is the relationship between investment and growth, wherein the level of growth. Oct 01, 2007 there is a long debate about how effective is foreign aid at creating economic development and eliminating poverty, going back to rostow 1960, chenery and strout 1966, bauer 1972, cassen. They argue that exporting activities generate foreign exchange that is required to import capital goods. Foreign capital inflows and economic growth in kenya. Review of theoretical and empirical literatures on the role. Review of theoretical and empirical literatures on the. Chenery and strout 1966 gave the definitive statement of the financing gap model in their twogap model.
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